By: Brad Horner
Welcome to the 2009 Annual Review edition of The Development Advisor, our quarterly report of the metropolitan Atlanta residential market. This report utilizes data based on transactions that closed in 4Q09 and compares it to that of 4Q08 as well as 1Q09, 2Q09 and 3Q09. We have compiled much of our information from our proprietary Universal Data Base, a system that pulls data for the entire metropolitan Atlanta market from both FMLS and GAMLS, deleting any duplication.
As we begin a new decade and look back over the past few years, many of us are relieved that one of the most challenging times in Atlanta real estate may be behind us. Overall, the results in the fourth quarter continued the improvement over the low points established in 4Q08 and 1Q09, signaling further signs of a slow recovery.
Similar to the third quarter of 2009, we continued to see mixed messages indicating a possible long awaited turn in the market. Absorption levels increased for new condo/ townhomes, but decreased for new single family and both types of resale. Average sales prices for new and resale condo/townhomes increased while prices for new and resale single family decreased. Even though sales prices are down overall compared to 4Q08, we have seen a light at the end of the tunnel with resale single family up 0.9%
The most significant news lies in the fact that current inventory levels continued their year long decline in 4Q09, with a 25% decline in all active listings compared to 4Q08. With building permits at historic lows and very little new construction condominium/townhome inventory being delivered in the foreseeable future, there was a 41.5% decline compared to 4Q08.
The extension of the tax credit and the expanded tax credit for current homeowners, combined with historically low interest rates and the second highest affordability index have created the perfect time to take advantage of homeownership. However, the pressures of high unemployment, difficulty in obtaining a mortgage, foreclosures and short sales continued to play a significant role in the uncertainty of the overall market’s improvement.
We hope you will find this edition of The Development Advisor informative and useful. Today’s market is unlike any we have experienced in the past, making it even more important to work with a sales and marketing partner that has a thorough and complete understanding of today’s challenges. We welcome any questions that you may have regarding this report and the future of the Atlanta residential real estate market.