Author Archives: Brad Horner

Friday Five: Fannie Mae’s new lending guidelines

By: Brad Horner

Fannie Mae’s new lending guidelines go into effect next Monday, December 13.  It’s expected that the new guidelines will make securing a mortgage easier for some borrowers, but harder for others.

The new rules are summarized in a recent article in the New York Times, from which we’ve quoted for today’s Friday Five:

  1. The rules will allow buyers to use gifts and grants from nonprofit groups for their minimum 5 percent down payment, which is the threshold set by Fannie Mae. Previously, borrowers had to contribute a minimum 5 percent down payment from their own funds, but additional down payment money could be from a gift (though never from a home seller). The exception was for borrowers who put 20 percent down: all that money could come as a gift.  The gift rules apply only to single-family principal residences, including town houses, co-ops and condominiums, and covers mortgage amounts in excess of 80 percent of the property’s value. Also, there is a limit on the loan balance — $729,000 in high-cost areas like New York City, and $417,000 in other areas.
  2. Fannie Mae is getting tougher on debt-to-income ratios, or the amount of a borrower’s gross monthly income that goes toward paying off all debts. The maximum ratio for those seeking a conventional mortgage will drop to 45 percent from 55 percent under the new guidelines.
  3. The agency is also taking a harder look at payment histories on revolving debt. In the past, if a borrower missed a monthly payment, Fannie Mae ignored it, or required that lenders add a few percentage points to the total balance when calculating the debt-to-income ratio. Now, buyers who have missed a payment will have 5 percent of the total balance added to their ratios.
  4. In addition, Fannie Mae is scrutinizing people who are at the end of their mortgages, with 10 or fewer payments left. It will now count those remaining balances in the debt-to-income ratios — another departure. Mortgage experts say that older buyers near the end of their loans may now have a tougher time securing a loan for a second home.
  5. But perhaps the toughest news from Fannie Mae concerns borrowers who have gone through foreclosure. They will be excluded from obtaining a Fannie-backed loan for seven years, up from five.

To read the full article about the new guidelines, click here.

Friday Five: Planned communities

By: Brad Horner

The last few years have changed the way we look at every aspect of real estate – from designing to marketing and selling to financing.  So it’s inevitable that the continually changing business and consumer mindset will also impact planned communities.

ULI recently published a very interesting article on the topic.  In the November issue, reporter John K. McIlwain said that the shift to more urban lifestyles, the high unemployment rate for those under 30 and the large number of boomers who are looking to age in place will change the way we look at planned communities during the next two decades, considering full buildout of such a community can take around ten years.

In the article, ULI suggested new approaches for future planned communities, including the five listed below.  If you are a ULI member, you can click here to read the full article.

  1. Expand the town center. Clustering more homes, especially smaller ones, around the center of a community begins to create a real downtown feel and allows people to walk to stores and services. Here, also, is where that elusive but increasingly important idea of “community” can occur, facilitated by locally owned businesses, places for people to interact informally, a community center with a hall for community events, and an intriguing mix of stores and services. Consider creating an association of business owners, homeowners, and renters to advise on the management of the town center, and to create events, musical and otherwise, to bring the community together.
  2. Consider forgoing expensive amenities like golf courses and clubs. Among the most popular amenities these days are project layouts promoting walking and bicycling. Tax breaks and other benefits are available for dedicating land to be held in open space permanently. (See ULI’s new book Conservation Communities: Creating Value with Homes, Open Space and Agriculture by Edward T. McMahon.)
  3. Reconfigure floor plans to add one home office and eliminate one bedroom. Flexi-force households need space to work from home—with the accoutrements of communication, such as broadband, a computer workstation, a printer, and a quiet businesslike environment. To obtain that, residents must either share the living/dining area with the rest of the family, or convert a small bedroom into a true home office. The latter is the better option, especially with plummeting broadband costs and rising commuting costs, both personal and external. To maximize the use of such semidedicated home office rooms, they should be wired with extra electrical outlets, coaxial or broadband cables, and wi-fi nodes.
  4. Encourage conversion of suitable new-entry ownership properties into permanent high-quality rental properties. With several million households downshifting to rental properties, several million dwellings constructed for occupant ownership should be converted to become permanent rental units. Aside from condos being converted into rentals, the market may see the return of the intermediate-term, furnished-flat lease or the American adaptation of London’s market in tradable leasehold interests. The U.S. market may reinvent the investor/landlord model through hybrid financing approaches, such as rent-to-buy or shared-appreciation hybrid ownership/rental finance vehicles.
  5. Rethink leases and security deposits to allow greater flexibility. Leases and deposits can be modified to allow multiple signers who can add to or drop out of the housing configuration. No longer do multiperson tenancies merely mean students shacking up; they now reflect shifting consumption patterns by people attendant on being in the flexi-force. Landlords want all residents on the lease, but if those residents are making and unmaking household configurations, the landlord will want to ensure there are enough wallets among the tenants that their changing status does not change his or her creditworthiness.

 

 

Friday Five: Overseas real estate markets

By: Brad Horner

I’m sure we’re all inundated with information about how the U.S. real estate market is doing on a monthly, weekly and even daily basis.  But it’s also interesting to take a step back and see what overseas markets currently look like.

The Economist recently published a roundup of global house prices.  The publication’s 2009 roundup included a “sea of negative numbers,” but this year’s list only included four year-on-year declines.  Below are five findings from this year’s roundup:

1.     Singapore, Hong Kong and Australia boast the gaudiest year-on-year price increases, even if the rate of appreciation is down a bit from the summer.

2.     House prices in China rose by 9.1% in the year to September, compared with a 12.4% rise in May. That is still too fast for the government, which unexpectedly raised interest rates on October 19, 2010 and has outlined more measures to cool the market in recent weeks, including higher down-payment requirements and the introduction of a property tax in some cities.

3.     Europe shows a familiar split between core countries and peripheral ones. Ireland, Spain and Italy continue to suffer year-on-year price declines; German and French homes have shown big gains in value over the past year, a particular turnaround for France.

4.     Japanese housing fell by 4% in the year to the end of the first quarter, despite being stuck far below its long-run price-to-rents ratio.

5.     Only Ireland’s property catastrophe has worsened.

Click here to read the full article.

 

Friday Five: Top five walkable suburbs in the U.S.

By: Brad Horner

The Wall Street Journal reported this week that non-profit group Walk San Diego found that homes in walkable communities retained 5% more value than non-walkable communities during the recent housing market decline. For the study, the group broke an area known as Mid City (which includes a handful of San Diego neighborhoods) in 11 separate zones to study walkability and found that the pedestrian-friendly spaces saw less of a decline between 2007 and 2009. Walkable areas decreased 12.4% while non-walkable areas decreased 17%.

We aren’t surprised in the least, as we regularly hear that a neighborhood’s “walkability” is what brings in potential buyers at many of the local properties that we represent.  Metro Atlanta has quite a few unique walkable neighborhoods, many of which have likely taken cues from the more well-known walkable suburbs in the U.S. – including those that were recently ranked in the Wall Street Journal’s list of the top 10 walkable suburbs in the U.S. (ranked by education levels, per capital income and travel time to work).  The top five include:

  1. Bethesda, Md.
  2. Princeton Township, N.J.
  3. Highland Park, Texas
  4. Evanston, Ill.
  5. Birmingham, Mich.

 

Friday Five: Tips from the GET MOTIVATED Seminar

By: Brad Horner

On Monday, a few of NRT Development Advisors’ team members attended the GET MOTIVATED Seminar and there is no better word to describe how we felt after the event than “motivated!”  We received advice from celebrity speakers including Bill Cosby, Goldie Hawn, General Colin Powell, Lou Holtz, Zig Ziglar, Rudy Giuliani and others during the one-day seminar.

Below are our top five timeless motivational tips that were discussed during the event, which are just as applicable now during a challenging economy as they are during a booming economy:

  1. Every day is a new day, so it’s important to stay positive.
  2. Don’t play the blame game.  Instead, work through the process to create a positive outcome.
  3. Attitude is everything in every situation.
  4. Communication is essential, regardless if it’s positive or negative news.
  5. Ask for feedback from your team.  And then listen to what they tell you.

Roger Tutterow’s insight on the every-changing economic, political and business climate

By: Brad Horner

Thanks again to all who attended Wednesday’s Developer Forum featuring Roger Tutterow, professor of economics at Mercer University’s Stetson School of Business & Economics.  He, as always, provided such interesting insight on the ever-changing economic, political and business climate.

Many attendees requested copies of Roger’s presentation, which you can download here.  Included are the very telling graphs about consumer sentiment, economic indicators, NAR Housing Market Index, equity markets, Federal budget, the upcoming elections and so, so much more.

Friday Five: Best places to trick-or-treat in Atlanta

By: Brad Horner

Today’s Friday Five is borrowed from a recent and very creative Zillow blog post that ranks their top 5 Atlanta neighborhoods in which to trick-or-treat.  The site calculated home values, population density, walk score and local crime data to determine the prime neighborhoods for this weekend’s festivities.

Below are Zillow’s top five Atlanta neighborhoods:

  1. Virginia Highland
  2. Morningside/Lenox Park
  3. Inman Park
  4. Brookhaven
  5. Garden Hills

What neighborhoods will you target this weekend for trick-or-treating?

Friday Five: Findings from this week’s NAHB housing index

By: Brad Horner

I am always happy to deliver positive news on Fridays (or, on any day, for that matter), and today’s positive news is courtesy of The National Association of Home Builders.  The group released the findings from its National Association of Home Builders / Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) this week, showing that builder confidence improved in October.

Below are five key points from the official release.

  1. Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes rose three points to 16. This was the first improvement registered by the HMI in five months, and returns the index to a level last seen in June of this year.
  2. Builder confidence also improved across every region in October. The South and West each posted four-point gains, to 18 and 12, respectively, while the Northeast and Midwest each posted single-point gains, to 17 and 13, respectively.
  3. All three of the HMI’s component indexes registered gains in October. The index gauging current sales conditions rose three points to16, while the index gauging sales expectations in the next six months rose five points to 23 and the index gauging traffic of prospective buyers rose two points to 11.
  4. “Builders are starting to see some flickers of interest among potential buyers, and are hopeful that this interest will translate to more sales in the coming months,” said NAHB Chairman Bob Jones, a home builder from Bloomfield Hills, Mich. “However, because most builders still have no access to credit for building homes, there is a real concern that we will not be able to meet the pent-up demand when consumers are ready to get back in the market. This problem threatens to severely slow the housing and economic recovery.”
  5. “The new-homes market is finally moving past the lull that occurred when the home buyer tax credits expired and economic growth stalled this summer,” noted NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “While challenges such as competition from foreclosures, inaccurate appraisal values, and general consumer uncertainty about the economy and job market continue to be major factors, builders have seen a slight increase in consumers who are considering a home purchase. The toughest obstacles really come down to financing – the scarcity of construction credit for builders along with tougher mortgage requirements for consumers.”

Friday Five: 5 reasons Georgia ranked 8th on Forbes Best States for Business and Careers

By: Brad Horner

Because a thriving business climate is vital to attracting and retaining residents (who will need housing!), we pay close attention to rankings such as Forbes Best States for Business and Careers.  The below list includes just five of the reasons that the Peach State ranked eighth on Forbes’ annual list.

  1. Regularly environment: 1
  2. Growth prospects: 7
  3. Labor supply: 7
  4. Economic climate: 30
  5. Business costs: 31

For the list, Forbes measured costs, labor supply, regulatory environment, current economic climate, growth prospects and quality of life.  Click here to see the full list.

Friday Five: 5 reasons to buy a home

By: Brad Horner

Recently, Brett Arends of the Wall Street Journal published an article about “why owning a home is a good thing.” And, well, that is smart advice that I can’t argue with!

Below are Brett’s top five reasons, in his words:

1. You can get a good deal. Especially if you play hardball. This is a buyer’s market. Most of the other buyers have now vanished, as the tax credits on purchases have just expired. We’re four to five years into the biggest housing bust in modern history. … Will prices fall further? Sure, they could. You’ll never catch the bottom. It doesn’t really matter so much in the long haul.

2. Mortgages are cheap. You can get a 30-year loan for around 4.3%. What’s not to like? These are the lowest rates on record. As recently as two years ago they were about 6.3%. That drop slashes your monthly repayment by a fifth. If inflation picks up, you won’t see these mortgage rates again in your lifetime. And if we get deflation, and rates fall further, you can refi.

3. You’ll save on taxes. You can deduct the mortgage interest from your income taxes. You can deduct your real estate taxes. And you’ll get a tax break on capital gains–if any–when you sell. Sure, you’ll need to do your math. You’ll only get the income tax break if you itemize your deductions, and many people may be better off taking the standard deduction instead. The breaks are more valuable the more you earn, and the bigger your mortgage. But many people will find that these tax breaks mean owning costs them less, often a lot less, than renting.

4. It’ll be yours. You can have the kitchen and bathrooms you want. You can move the walls, build an extension–zoning permitted–or paint everything bright orange. Few landlords are so indulgent; for renters, these types of changes are often impossible. You’ll feel better about your own place if you own it than if you rent.

5. You’ll get a better home. In many parts of the country it can be really hard to find a good rental. All the best places are sold as condos. Money talks. … Generally speaking, if you want the best home in the best neighborhood, you’re better off buying.

Want to read Brett’s other five reasons why it’s smart to buy a home?  Click here.

What other reasons would you add to the list?  Leave your thoughts in the below comments section.